The Modelling and Simulation Hub, Africa (MASHA) is a research group at the University of Cape Town. MASHA’s research focus is the development and application of mathematical modelling and computer simulation to predict the dynamics and control of infectious diseases to evaluate the impact of policies aimed at reducing morbidity and mortality. Based in the Faculty of Science, MASHA’s research is closely integrated with other disciplines resulting in policy-driven and impactful scientific research.
What we do
Based in the Faculty of Science, MASHA’s research is closely integrated with other disciplines resulting in policy-driven and impactful scientific research. We have supported decision-making in malaria and other disease-related policy in several countries around the world.
Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease Course
With increases in computing power and renewed efforts in the global fight against diseases like malaria, dengue and TB, mathematical modelling is fast becoming a tool to guide public health policy. This short course will focus on the application of mathematical modelling and computer simulation to predict the dynamics of infectious diseases to evaluate the potential impact of policy in reducing morbidity and mortality.
Topics covered include compartmental models, spatial models, introduction to agent based models, economic evaluation methods and more. The course is practically focused along with a series of lectures and guest seminars.
The SACMC Epidemic Explorer is a dashboard built by the South African COVID-19 Modelling Consortium (SACMC) to explore the COVID-19 epidemic in South Africa, analysing resurgence risk, presenting metrics to prepare for future outbreaks, and monitoring COVID-19 hospital admissions. This open access dashboard presents a subset of the metrics used to support the planning efforts of the government of South Africa. Access the dashboard at www.SACMCEpidemicExplorer.co.za.