Publications | Modelling and Simulation Hub, Africa (MASHA)

Publications

Pollett, S., Johansson, M.A., Reich, N.G., Brett-Major, D., Del Valle, S.Y., Venkatramanan, S., Lowe, R., Porco, T., Berry, I.M., Deshpande, A., Kraemer, M.U.G., Blazes, D.L., Pan-ngum, W., Vespigiani, A., Mate, S.E., Silal, S.P., Kandula, S., Sippy, R., Quandelacy, T.M., Morgan, J.J., Ball, J., Morton, L.C., Althouse, B.M., Pavlin, J., van Panhuis, W., Riley, S., Biggerstaff, M., Viboud, C., Brady, O., Rivers, C. Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: The EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines. PLOS Medicine 18(10): e1003793. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003793 (2021)
Njau, J., Silal, S.P., Kollipara, A., Fox, K., Balawanth, R., Yuen, A., White, L.J., Moya, M., Pillay, Y., Moonasar, D. Investment case for malaria elimination in South Africa: a financing model for resource mobilization to accelerate regional malaria elimination. Malar J 20, 344 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12936-021-03875-z (2021)
Morton, A., Bish, E., Megiddo, I., Zhuang, W., Aringhieri, R., Brailsford, S., Deo, S., Geng, N., Higle, J., Hutton, D., Janssen, M., Kaplan, EH., Li, J., D Oliveira, M., Prinja, S., Rauner, M., Silal, SP., & Song, J. 2021. Introduction to the special issue: Management Science in the Fight Against Covid-19. Health Care Management Science, pp.1-2. (2021)
Jo, Y., Jamieson, L., Edoka, I., Long, L., Silal, SP., Pulliam, JRC., Moultrie, H., Sanne, I., Meyer-Rath, G., Nichols, BE. (2021). Cost-effectiveness of remdesivir and dexamethasone for COVID-19 treatment in South Africa. (2021). Open Forum Infectious Diseases. Volume 8. Issue 3. https://doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofab040 (2021)
Awine, T., Silal, S.P. (2020). Accounting for regional transmission variability and the impact of malaria control interventions in Ghana: a population level mathematical modelling approach. Malar J 19, 423. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12936-020-03496-y (2020)
Silal, S. P. (2020). Operational research: a multidisciplinary approach for the management of infectious disease in a global context. European Journal of Operational Research. (2020)
Kuodi P., Patterson J., Silal SP., Hussey GD & Kagina B. (2020) Characterization of the environmental presence of hepatitis A virus in Low and Middle-Income Countries: A systematic review and meta-analysis. BMJ Open. 10 (9), e036407 (2020)
Nichols BE, Jamieson L, Zhang SRC, et al. The role of remdesivir in South Africa: preventing COVID-19 deaths through increasing ICU capacity. Clinical Infectious Diseases : an Official Publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America. 2020 Jul. DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciaa937. (2020)
Patterson, J., Hussey, H. S., Silal, S., Goddard, L., Setshedi, M., Spearman, W., ... & Muloiwa, R. (2020). Systematic review of the global epidemiology of viral-induced acute liver failure. BMJ open, 10(7), e037473. (2020)
Shretta, R., Silal, S.P., Malm, K., Mohammed, W., Narh, J., Piccinini, D., Bertram, K., Rockwood, J. and Lynch, M., 2020. Estimating the risk of declining funding for malaria in Ghana: the case for continued investment in the malaria response. Malaria Journal, 19(1), pp.1-15. (2020)
Patterson, J., Hussey, H.S., Abdullahi, L.H., Silal, S., Goddard, L., Setshedi, M., Spearman, W., Hussey, G.D., Kagina, B. and Muloiwa, R., 2019. The global epidemiology of viral-induced acute liver failure: a systematic review protocol. BMJ open, 9(8), p.e029819. (2019)
Celhay, O.J., Silal, S.P., Maude, R.J., Mercado, C.E.G., Shretta, R., White, L.J..An interactive application for malaria elimination transmission and costing Wellcome Open Research 2019, 4:61 (2019)
Shretta, R., Silal, S.P., Celhay, O.J., Mercado, C.E.G., Kyaw, S.S., Avancena, A., Fox, K., Zelman, B., Baral, R., White, L.J., Maude, R.J.. Malaria elimination transmission and costing in the Asia-Pacific: Developing an investment case Wellcome Open Res 2019, 4:60 (2019)
Silal, S.P., Shretta, R., Celhay, O.J., Mercado, C.E.G., Saralamba, S.S., Maude, R.J., White, L.J. Malaria elimination transmission and costing in the Asia-Pacific: a multi-species dynamic transmission model. Wellcome Open Res 2019, 4:62 (2019)
Shretta, R., Silal, S., White, L.J., Maude, R.J. Predicting the cost of malaria elimination in the Asia-Pacific. Wellcome Open Res. 2019 Apr 24;4:73. (2019)
Awine, T., Malm, K., Peprah, N.Y. and Silal, S.P., 2018. Spatio-temporal heterogeneity of malaria morbidity in Ghana: Analysis of routine health facility data. PloS one, 13(1), p.e0191707. (2018)
Awine, T., Malm, K., Bart-Plange, C. and Silal, S.P., 2017. Towards malaria control and elimination in Ghana: challenges and decision making tools to guide planning. Global health action, 10(1), p.1381471 (2017)
Silal, S.P., Little, F., Barnes, K.I. and White, L.J., 2016. Sensitivity to model structure: a comparison of compartmental models in epidemiology. Health Systems, 5(3), pp.178-191. (2016)
Slater H.C., Ross, A., Ouedrago A.L., Nguon C., Walker P., Ngor P., Silal, S.P., La Barre P., Burton R., Sauerin R.W. Drakely C, Smith TA, Bousema T, Ghani AC., 2015. Assessing the impact of next-generation rapid diagnostic tests on Plasmodium falciparum malaria elimination strategies. Nature, 528(7580). (2015)
Silal, S.P., Little, F., Barnes, K.I. and White, L.J., 2015. Hitting a moving target: a model for malaria elimination in the presence of population movement. PLoS One, 10(12), p.e0144990. (2015)
Silal, S.P., Little, F., Barnes, K.I. and White, L.J., 2015. Predicting the impact of border control on malaria transmission: a simulated focal screen and treat campaign. Malaria journal, 14(1), p.268. (2015)
Silal, S.P., Little, F., Barnes, K.I. and White, L.J., 2014. Towards malaria elimination in Mpumalanga, South Africa: a population-level mathematical modelling approach. Malaria journal, 13(1), p.297. (2014)
Silal, S.P., Penn-Kekana, L., Bärnighausen, T. and Schneider, H., 2014. Local level inequalities in the use of hospital-based maternal delivery in rural South Africa. Globalization and health, 10(1), p.60. (2014)
Silal, S.P., Barnes, K.I., Kok, G., Mabuza, A. and Little, F., 2013. Exploring the seasonality of reported treated malaria cases in Mpumalanga, South Africa. PloS one, 8(10), p.e76640. (2013)
Cleary, S., Birch, S., Chimbindi, N., Silal, S. and McIntyre, D., 2013. Investigating the affordability of key health services in South Africa. Social science & medicine, 80, pp.37-46. (2013)
Moshabela, M., Schneider, H., Silal, S.P. and Cleary, S.M., 2012. Factors associated with patterns of plural healthcare utilization among patients taking antiretroviral therapy in rural and urban South Africa: a cross-sectional study. BMC health services Research, 12(1), p.182. (2012)
Silal, S.P., Penn-Kekana, L., Harris, B., Birch, S. and McIntyre, D., 2012. Exploring inequalities in access to and use of maternal health services in South Africa. BMC health services research, 12(1), p.120. (2012)
Cleary, S., Silal, S., Birch, S., Carrara, H., Pillay-van Wyk, V., Rehle, T. and Schneider, H., 2011. Equity in the use of antiretroviral treatment in the public health care system in urban South Africa. Health Policy, 99(3), pp.261-266. (2011)

TOP