Publications | Modelling and Simulation Hub, Africa (MASHA)

Publications

Patterson, J., Hussey, H.S., Abdullahi, L.H., Silal, S., Goddard, L., Setshedi, M., Spearman, W., Hussey, G.D., Kagina, B. and Muloiwa, R., 2019. The global epidemiology of viral-induced acute liver failure: a systematic review protocol. BMJ open, 9(8), p.e029819. (2019)
Silal, S.P., Shretta, R., Celhay, O.J., Mercado, C.E.G., Saralamba, S.S., Maude, R.J., White, L.J. Malaria elimination transmission and costing in the Asia-Pacific: a multi-species dynamic transmission model. Wellcome Open Res 2019, 4:62 (2019)
Shretta, R., Silal, S.P., Celhay, O.J., Mercado, C.E.G., Kyaw, S.S., Avancena, A., Fox, K., Zelman, B., Baral, R., White, L.J., Maude, R.J.. Malaria elimination transmission and costing in the Asia-Pacific: Developing an investment case Wellcome Open Res 2019, 4:60 (2019)
Shretta, R., Silal, S., White, L.J., Maude, R.J. Predicting the cost of malaria elimination in the Asia-Pacific. Wellcome Open Res. 2019 Apr 24;4:73. (2019)
Celhay, O.J., Silal, S.P., Maude, R.J., Mercado, C.E.G., Shretta, R., White, L.J..An interactive application for malaria elimination transmission and costing Wellcome Open Research 2019, 4:61 (2019)
Issarow, C.M., Mulder, N. and Wood, R., 2018. Environmental and social factors impacting on epidemic and endemic tuberculosis: a modelling analysis. Royal Society open science, 5(1), p.170726. (2018)
Awine, T., Malm, K., Peprah, N.Y. and Silal, S.P., 2018. Spatio-temporal heterogeneity of malaria morbidity in Ghana: Analysis of routine health facility data. PloS one, 13(1), p.e0191707. (2018)
Issarow, C.M., Mulder, N. and Wood, R., 2017. Impact of effective contact rate and post treatment immune status on population tuberculosis infection and disease using a mathematical model. F1000Research, 6. (2017)
Awine, T., Malm, K., Bart-Plange, C. and Silal, S.P., 2017. Towards malaria control and elimination in Ghana: challenges and decision making tools to guide planning. Global health action, 10(1), p.1381471 (2017)
Silal, S.P., Little, F., Barnes, K.I. and White, L.J., 2016. Sensitivity to model structure: a comparison of compartmental models in epidemiology. Health Systems, 5(3), pp.178-191. (2016)
Issarow, C.M., Wood, R. and Mulder, N., 2016. Seminal Mycobacterium Tuberculosisin vivo Transmission Studies: ReanalysisUsing Probabilistic Modelling. Mycobact Dis 6:217. doi:10.4172/2161-1068.100021. (2016)
Wood, R., Morrow, C., Barry III, C.E., Bryden, W.A., Call, C.J., Hickey, A.J., Rodes, C.E., Scriba, T.J., Blackburn, J., Issarow, C. and Mulder, N., 2016. Real-time investigation of tuberculosis transmission: developing the respiratory aerosol sampling chamber (RASC). PloS one, 11(1), p.e0146658. (2016)
Slater H.C., Ross, A., Ouedrago A.L., Nguon C., Walker P., Ngor P., Silal, S.P., La Barre P., Burton R., Sauerin R.W. Drakely C, Smith TA, Bousema T, Ghani AC., 2015. Assessing the impact of next-generation rapid diagnostic tests on Plasmodium falciparum malaria elimination strategies. Nature, 528(7580). (2015)
Silal, S.P., Little, F., Barnes, K.I. and White, L.J., 2015. Hitting a moving target: a model for malaria elimination in the presence of population movement. PLoS One, 10(12), p.e0144990. (2015)
Silal, S.P., Little, F., Barnes, K.I. and White, L.J., 2015. Predicting the impact of border control on malaria transmission: a simulated focal screen and treat campaign. Malaria journal, 14(1), p.268. (2015)
Issarow, C.M., Mulder, N. and Wood, R., 2015. Modelling the risk of airborne infectious disease using exhaled air. Journal of theoretical biology, 372, pp.100-106. (2015)
Silal, S.P., Little, F., Barnes, K.I. and White, L.J., 2014. Towards malaria elimination in Mpumalanga, South Africa: a population-level mathematical modelling approach. Malaria journal, 13(1), p.297. (2014)
Silal, S.P., Penn-Kekana, L., Bärnighausen, T. and Schneider, H., 2014. Local level inequalities in the use of hospital-based maternal delivery in rural South Africa. Globalization and health, 10(1), p.60. (2014)
Silal, S.P., Barnes, K.I., Kok, G., Mabuza, A. and Little, F., 2013. Exploring the seasonality of reported treated malaria cases in Mpumalanga, South Africa. PloS one, 8(10), p.e76640. (2013)
Cleary, S., Birch, S., Chimbindi, N., Silal, S. and McIntyre, D., 2013. Investigating the affordability of key health services in South Africa. Social science & medicine, 80, pp.37-46. (2013)
Moshabela, M., Schneider, H., Silal, S.P. and Cleary, S.M., 2012. Factors associated with patterns of plural healthcare utilization among patients taking antiretroviral therapy in rural and urban South Africa: a cross-sectional study. BMC health services Research, 12(1), p.182. (2012)
Silal, S.P., Penn-Kekana, L., Harris, B., Birch, S. and McIntyre, D., 2012. Exploring inequalities in access to and use of maternal health services in South Africa. BMC health services research, 12(1), p.120. (2012)
Cleary, S., Silal, S., Birch, S., Carrara, H., Pillay-van Wyk, V., Rehle, T. and Schneider, H., 2011. Equity in the use of antiretroviral treatment in the public health care system in urban South Africa. Health Policy, 99(3), pp.261-266. (2011)

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